Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d6b…aaa3
sports · 669 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$337 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$350 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$350
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses293 / 370
Est. fees paid−$46
Open positions5
Markets (closed)663 / 669
History coverage84d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 5 History 663 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$29
14 days+$59
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 36¢ 42¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 60¢ 60¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 26¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-10? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09? No 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-14? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Team Vitality 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-07? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 24¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-17? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-05? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09? No 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-02? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-20? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$3 -60%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $8 +$8 +97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +55%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $58 +$3 +6%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $7 +$3 +43%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? Jun 10 $1 +$1 +125%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $13 +$7 +55%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 +$7 +232%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $3 +$2 +51%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $156 +$1 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5 Jun 09 $3 −$2 -59%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5 Jun 09 $3 $0 -9%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 Jun 09 $3 $0 -5%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $114 −$2 -1%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $1 +$1 +101%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Jordan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $2 $0 -22%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $2 −$1 -43%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? Jun 07 $1 +$3 +325%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $16 +$3 +21%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $3 +$3 +98%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $3 +$1 +41%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $1 +$2 +238%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $4 $0 +0%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $4 +$4 +90%
Will Honduras win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026? Jun 07 $1 +$5 +470%
Argentina leading at halftime? Jun 07 $3 +$2 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% −$276
sports 43% −$71
crypto 4% −$5
politics 2% +$16
weather 0% −$5
economics 0% −$6
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 26¢ $1 21m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 56¢ $4 25m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 14¢ $1 33m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $4 47m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 51m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 32¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 12¢ $6 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 17¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 7h
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026? BUY No 2¢ $1 15h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 19h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 19¢ $2 19h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $5 20h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 20h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 69¢ $10 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 71¢ $7 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 36¢ $2 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $6 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $5 26h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 29¢ $3 28h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $5 2d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND BUY 100¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 37¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +29.5% +17.2% 43% 38% -3.9%
≤30d 138 +6.8% -3.4% 46% 42% -12.4%
≤90d 663 -1.2% -10.6% 44% 41% -15.3%
all 663 -1.2% -10.6% 44% 41% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 41% -15.3%
10% -19.2% 38% -23.4%
15% -27.0% 35% -30.8%
20% -34.1% 30% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.69 · official $21.69 (match) · 1870 history records