trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 36% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 38% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 38% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 24 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 50% | 8% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.1% | 8% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -16.9% | 4% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -24.9% | 4% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -32.3% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $43 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $76 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $29 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $71 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $80 | −$6 | -7% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $44 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Jun 24 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 21 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 21 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 21 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 27 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 21 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| California vs. Louisville | Mar 04 | $14 | −$2 | -18% |
| Louisville vs. Virginia Tech | Mar 04 | $12 | +$2 | +20% |
| Stony Brook vs. Hampton | Feb 25 | $8 | +$3 | +45% |