Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:03:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d5e…bd52
other · 68 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$81 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses18 / 50
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
History coverage592d
Avg bet$304
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 0 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $29 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $19 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $21 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $29 $0 -0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 06 $196 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 05 $40 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? Jun 05 $46 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? Jun 05 $54 $0 +0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $23 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 27 $21 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 26 $19 $0 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 22 $22 $0 -0%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals May 22 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $183 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 18 $329 $0 -0%
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-13? May 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 08 $157 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $157 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 06 $166 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 26 $165 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 26 $173 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 25 $334 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 25 $494 −$1 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 25 $161 $0 -0%
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 24 $173 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Apr 24 $160 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 23 $171 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $157 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $170 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $162 $0 -0%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 14 $173 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $158 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $170 $0 -0%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $12 +$8 +62%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 09 $14 +$10 +72%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Apr 07 $15 +$1 +10%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 07 $10 +$14 +146%
Pacers vs. Bulls Apr 06 $29 −$29 -100%
Predators vs. Lightning Apr 06 $29 −$29 -100%
Flames vs. Avalanche Apr 06 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? Apr 06 $19 $0 +1%
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? Apr 06 $49 $0 +0%
Sharks vs. Blue Jackets Apr 06 $24 +$44 +186%
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26? Mar 27 $22 −$22 -100%
Spurs vs. Heat Mar 26 $24 +$13 +52%
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks Mar 23 $32 +$83 +256%
Magic vs. Hawks Mar 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 68% −$14
other 18% +$16
politics 11% −$6
sports 2% +$81
crypto 1% +$1
world 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $29 34m
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $29 1h
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $19 10h
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $19 15h
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $21 44h
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $21 47h
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $29 6d
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $29 7d
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $29 8d
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $29 8d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $20 8d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $20 9d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $23 16d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $23 17d
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $46 17d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $21 17d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $21 17d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $19 18d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $19 18d
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $54 22d
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $21 22d
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $22 22d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $27 23d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $27 23d
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 49¢ $12 23d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $20 24d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $20 24d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $156 26d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $156 26d
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $8 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 16 -12.6% -20.9% 12% 0% -11.3%
≤90d 52 +0.1% -9.4% 25% 15% -8.3%
all 68 +1.4% -8.2% 26% 13% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.2% 13% -9.2%
10% -17.0% 13% -17.9%
15% -25.0% 13% -25.8%
20% -32.4% 12% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 268 history records