Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d57…56ea
crypto · 86 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$12,606 +49%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,126 · open −$81
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$829
Realized+$12,126
Unrealized−$81
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses205 / 346
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions12
Markets (closed)551 / 86
History coverage1d
Avg bet$300
Trades / day3379.0
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 12 History 551 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12,126
7 days+$12,126
14 days+$12,126
30 days+$12,126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 80¢ 94¢ $156 $185 +$29 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 74¢ 73¢ $145 $143 −$2 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 14¢ 28¢ $41 $83 +$41 (+99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 95¢ 68¢ $71 $51 −$21 (-29%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 44¢ 60¢ $36 $49 +$12 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 51¢ 84¢ $28 $46 +$18 (+63%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 39¢ 16¢ $116 $46 −$70 (-60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 87¢ 84¢ $46 $45 −$1 (-3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 35¢ 27¢ $45 $34 −$11 (-24%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 36¢ 46¢ $22 $28 +$6 (+29%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 59¢ 76¢ $18 $23 +$5 (+29%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 44¢ 32¢ $29 $21 −$7 (-26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 36¢ 16¢ $41 $18 −$22 (-55%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 57¢ 24¢ $28 $12 −$16 (-57%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 46¢ 40¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-12%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 33¢ 6¢ $63 $11 −$53 (-83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 50¢ 78¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 62¢ 86¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 97¢ 22¢ $9 $2 −$7 (-78%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 99¢ 14¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-86%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 13¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+669%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+189%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$43 -8424%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$126 -28048%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +669%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$103 +77185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$54 +121612%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2,998 -2927678%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$303 +267815%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$10 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$291 +763%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$304 +6939%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$120 -330%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$31 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$109 -824%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$33 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$159 -380%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$26 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$82 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$42 +15067%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$45 +127%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$465
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $7 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $7 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+198.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 551 +229.5% +198.1% 37% 31% +2.9%
≤30d 551 +229.5% +198.1% 37% 31% +2.9%
≤90d 551 +229.5% +198.1% 37% 31% +2.9%
all 551 +229.5% +198.1% 37% 31% +2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3379.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +198.1% 31% +2.9%
10% ← realistic here +169.6% 30% -7.0%
15% +143.6% 28% -15.9%
20% +119.7% 27% -24.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $828.82 · official $832.81 (match) · 3500 history records