Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T17:42:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9D 0x9d52…7405 crypto 1526 markets active 7h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$87 (-1%) realized −$87 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate53%812W / 713L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day65.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$19
14 days−$250
30 days−$609
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$556
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +5.7% -4.3% 55% 55% -4.8%
≤30d 1483 -4.6% -13.7% 53% 53% -13.0%
≤90d 1525 -4.4% -13.5% 53% 53% -12.6%
all 1525 -4.4% -13.5% 53% 53% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 53% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 52% -21.0%
15% -29.4% 52% -28.6%
20% -36.3% 50% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$11 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses812 / 713
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1525 / 1526
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$11
Trades / day65.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1525 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$7 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$7 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records