Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:55:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d47…f750
politics · 16 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses2 / 14
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)16 / 16
History coverage101d
Avg bet$120
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 14 $211 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $105 $0 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 28 $106 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? May 19 $106 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? May 14 $106 $0 -0%
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? May 10 $106 $0 +0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 04 $106 $0 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 19 $107 $0 +0%
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 16 $107 $0 +0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $107 $0 +0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 08 $107 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 06 $107 $0 -0%
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Apr 02 $107 $0 +0%
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 19 $214 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 15 $107 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Mar 06 $108 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 33% −$1
sports 22% $0
other 17% $0
economics 17% $0
tech 6% $0
crypto 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $105 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $105 14h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $105 11d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $105 12d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $105 16d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $106 16d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 99¢ $106 21d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 99¢ $106 22d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $106 26d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $106 26d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $106 31d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $106 31d
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? SELL No 100¢ $106 34d
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? BUY No 100¢ $106 34d
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $106 41d
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $106 41d
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 100¢ $107 56d
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $102 56d
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $5 56d
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? SELL No 100¢ $107 58d
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY No 100¢ $107 59d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $107 61d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $107 62d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $107 66d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $107 66d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $107 68d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $107 68d
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL No 100¢ $107 73d
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? BUY No 100¢ $25 73d
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? BUY No 100¢ $82 73d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 4 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 14 -0.1% -9.6% 14% 0% -9.6%
all 16 -0.1% -9.6% 12% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 46 history records