Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:02:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d27…ad49
other · 103 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$66 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses10 / 92
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)102 / 103
History coverage88d
Avg bet$191
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 1 History 102 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $39 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $385 $0 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 07 $30 $0 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 06 $39 $0 -0%
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $26 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Jun 05 $40 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? Jun 05 $73 $0 +0%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? May 28 $39 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 27 $204 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $36 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 22 $272 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 21 $40 $0 -0%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 16 $176 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 15 $369 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 14 $180 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 08 $363 $0 -0%
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? May 07 $185 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 05 $766 −$1 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 04 $353 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? May 04 $365 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 03 $186 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $173 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 01 $183 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 01 $187 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $181 $0 -0%
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 20 $363 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $174 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 18 $361 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 18 $181 $0 -0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 17 $362 −$1 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $169 $0 -0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 15 $173 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $389 $0 -0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 14 $170 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $207 $0 -0%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 14 $188 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 13 $186 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $588 −$1 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $969 −$1 -0%
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 12 $171 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 12 $171 $0 -0%
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? Apr 12 $178 $0 -0%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $189 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 11 $174 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $186 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 10 $179 $0 -0%
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom i Apr 10 $183 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 10 $181 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 10 $388 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 09 $601 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% −$40
politics 22% −$5
economics 4% −$1
sports 3% −$22
tech 1% $0
world 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $36 1h
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $39 22h
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $39 26h
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $30 42h
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $30 44h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $30 7d
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $30 7d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $39 8d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $39 8d
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $26 9d
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $26 9d
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? SELL No 100¢ $39 17d
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 100¢ $39 17d
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $40 17d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $37 18d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $37 18d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $36 19d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $36 19d
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? BUY No 100¢ $73 22d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $32 22d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $32 22d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $21 23d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $21 24d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $40 24d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $40 24d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $31 25d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $31 25d
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $176 29d
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $176 29d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on SELL No 100¢ $184 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 13 -0.1% -9.6% 15% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 102 -3.6% -12.8% 10% 7% -9.8%
all 102 -3.6% -12.8% 10% 7% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 7% -9.8%
10% -21.2% 7% -18.5%
15% -28.8% 6% -26.3%
20% -35.8% 4% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.28 · official $36.28 (match) · 301 history records