Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T09:19:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9D 0x9d1a…31f5 crypto 48 markets active 1d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (623 trades/day) — uncopyable! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$736 (-3%) realized −$736 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +89% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +40% what you keep after slip
Net edge+40%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate58%28W / 20L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$587per market
Trades / day623.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$763
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (623 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+70.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +88.9% +70.9% 58% 58% -12.0%
≤30d 48 +88.9% +70.9% 58% 58% -12.0%
≤90d 48 +88.9% +70.9% 58% 58% -12.0%
all 48 +88.9% +70.9% 58% 58% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover623.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +70.9% 58% -12.0%
10% +54.5% 58% -20.4%
15% ← realistic here +39.6% 56% -28.1%
20% +25.9% 54% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 39% · top 2 59% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +89% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +89% → late +88% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
40.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$596 vs −$873 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$736
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses28 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage3d
Avg bet$587
Trades / day623.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 48 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 25 $1,918 −$392 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $838 +$2,146 +256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 25 $396 +$404 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 25 $81 +$122 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$12 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 25 $3,676 +$6,540 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 25 $536 +$848 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $882 +$1,391 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $1,723 −$1,722 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $2,083 −$2,077 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 25 $403 −$403 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 25 $405 −$394 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 25 $12,088 −$11,746 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $328 +$1,272 +388%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $551 −$551 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $1,813 +$3,379 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 24 $40 −$13 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 24 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $14 +$32 +227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $7 +$21 +303%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 24 $16 +$39 +253%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 24 $17 +$49 +294%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 23 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 23 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$17 +308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 23 $27 +$72 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $13 +$20 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$20 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $17 +$28 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $14 +$13 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $13 +$47 +365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $21 +$54 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $13 +$47 +365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 22 $3 +$12 +335%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 22 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 22 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 22 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 22 $13 +$47 +365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $11 +$34 +322%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 22 $12 +$4 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $32 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $13 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $23 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $16 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $84 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $33 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $215 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $32 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $38 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $19 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $7 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $19 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $95 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $35 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $17 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $35 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $24 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $35 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1958 history records