Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T17:18:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9D 0x9d14…bc89 crypto 46 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (105 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL −$8 (-0%) realized −$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +66% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +28% what you keep after slip
Net edge+28%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate26%12W / 34L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day105.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (105 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+50.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +66.4% +50.5% 26% 26% -11.3%
≤30d 46 +66.4% +50.5% 26% 26% -11.3%
≤90d 46 +66.4% +50.5% 26% 26% -11.3%
all 46 +66.4% +50.5% 26% 26% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover105.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +50.5% 26% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here +36.1% 26% -19.7%
15% +23.0% 24% -27.5%
20% +10.9% 24% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 52% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +66% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +180% → late -47% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$72 vs −$26 · ×2.81 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses12 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day105.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 46 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 29 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 29 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 29 $58 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 29 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 29 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 29 $57 +$83 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 29 $142 −$34 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 29 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 29 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 29 $63 −$9 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 29 $57 +$37 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 29 $26 +$34 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 29 $52 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 29 $11 +$14 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 29 $127 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 29 $31 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $114 +$207 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 29 $136 −$130 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 29 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 29 $5 +$26 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 29 $36 −$26 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$16 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 29 $36 −$27 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 29 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 29 $42 +$60 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$15 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 29 $11 +$239 +2232%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 29 $11 +$45 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 29 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 29 $5 +$95 +1775%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 29 $57 −$19 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 29 $56 +$11 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 126 history records