Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:34:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cfc…0efd
crypto · 22 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$57 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$59 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized+$59
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses13 / 7
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)20 / 22
History coverage3d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 2 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days+$59
14 days+$59
30 days+$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 38¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-6%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $20 −$1 -4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $55 +$58 +106%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$6 +7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $110 +$26 +24%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $92 +$40 +43%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 54% −$2
other 41% +$61
sports 5% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $40 40m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 63¢ $19 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $20 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $20 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $112 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 14h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $51 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $80 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $80 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $83 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $80 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $86 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $80 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $137 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 91¢ $100 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -13.8% -22.0% 65% 25% -3.0%
≤30d 20 -13.8% -22.0% 65% 25% -3.0%
≤90d 20 -13.8% -22.0% 65% 25% -3.0%
all 20 -13.8% -22.0% 65% 25% -3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.0% 25% -3.0%
10% -29.4% 15% -12.3%
15% -36.3% 10% -20.8%
20% -42.5% 5% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.53 · official $58.53 (match) · 50 history records