Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:29:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cf7…ebd8
crypto · 324 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$790 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$244 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$89
Realized−$244
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses104 / 219
Open positions1
Markets (closed)323 / 324
History coverage17d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day186.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 323 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days−$89
14 days−$199
30 days−$244
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 47¢ 98¢ $43 $88 +$45 (+106%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 57¢ 2¢ $17 $1 −$17 (-96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+156%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $143 +$48 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $90 −$70 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $120 +$28 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$40 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $86 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $118 −$48 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $133 −$72 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $131 +$36 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $129 +$58 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $17 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$6 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$14 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$3 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $12 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $18 −$2 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $38 −$7 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$5 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $8 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $18 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $14 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$2 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $36 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $18 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $17 −$5 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$261
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -15.8% -23.8% 34% 26% -12.9%
≤30d 323 -8.7% -17.4% 32% 15% -12.1%
≤90d 323 -8.7% -17.4% 32% 15% -12.1%
all 323 -8.7% -17.4% 32% 15% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover186.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 15% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 13% -20.5%
15% -32.5% 8% -28.2%
20% -39.1% 6% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.41 · official $69.20 · 3500 history records