Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:17:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9C 0x9cf6…d9f8 crypto 353 markets active 5d ago coverage 18d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$22 (-1%) realized −$22 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate41%143W / 210L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day53.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$61
14 days−$125
30 days−$135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$135
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -27.9% -34.8% 41% 40% -28.6%
≤30d 353 -13.0% -21.3% 41% 38% -14.2%
≤90d 353 -13.0% -21.3% 41% 38% -14.2%
all 353 -13.0% -21.3% 41% 38% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 38% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.9% 34% -22.5%
15% -35.7% 27% -29.9%
20% -42.0% 21% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$4 · ×1.24 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses143 / 210
Open positions0
Markets (closed)353 / 353
History coverage18d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day53.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 353 Trades
no open positions (137 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 11, 5PM ET? Jun 11 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$5 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$8 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$6 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$5 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 11, 5PM ET? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 11, 5PM ET? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1147 history records