Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cd7…73e9
sports · 13 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$14
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses3 / 8
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)11 / 13
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 2 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner KOLESIE 31¢ 48¢ $9 $13 +$5 (+53%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 45¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-99%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Ding Cuts $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 11¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Ibanez be in Brazil's Starting 11? No $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? No 14¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 13 $4 −$3 -72%
Will Ibanez be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$6 +144%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$10
other 16% −$8
world 8% −$3
crypto 8% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 30¢ $2 1m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 31¢ $2 2m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 28¢ $2 2m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 31¢ $2 2m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 37¢ $2 2m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 44¢ $2 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 46¢ $2 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 44¢ $2 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 44¢ $2 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 44¢ $2 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 47¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 12¢ $2 15h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No $1 15h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 16¢ $2 15h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $2 15h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under $1 15h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No $1 15h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 11¢ $2 15h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL No 12¢ $1 16h
Will Ibanez be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No $1 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 37¢ $2 45h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 42¢ $2 46h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 39¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Ding Cuts $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Ding Cuts $1 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 40¢ $2 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY No 43¢ $2 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY No 44¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-36.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -30.1% -36.8% 27% 27% -28.5%
≤30d 11 -30.1% -36.8% 27% 27% -28.5%
≤90d 11 -30.1% -36.8% 27% 27% -28.5%
all 11 -30.1% -36.8% 27% 27% -28.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.8% 27% -28.5%
10% -42.8% 27% -35.3%
15% -48.3% 27% -41.6%
20% -53.4% 27% -47.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.50 · official $21.64 · 31 history records