Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cd2…7356
other · 251 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$78 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses14 / 236
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)250 / 251
History coverage134d
Avg bet$227
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$18
14 days−$31
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? No 99¢ 99¢ $59 $59 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $796 −$2 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $224 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 13 $303 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $440 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $133 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $442 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $374 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $356 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $203 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $124 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $401 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $177 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $212 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $250 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $374 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $412 −$3 -1%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $62 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $127 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $453 −$2 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 08 $785 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $63 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $683 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $371 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $243 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $210 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $219 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $456 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $257 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $302 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $132 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $539 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $459 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $380 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $607 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 04 $747 −$2 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $237 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $481 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $366 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $446 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $157 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $810 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $149 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $69 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $898 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $238 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $249 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 30 $303 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 29 $144 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 29 $526 −$2 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $156 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$40
sports 23% −$19
politics 10% −$8
culture 7% −$10
economics 6% −$3
crypto 6% −$6
world 4% −$4
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $59 1h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $59 5h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 7h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $60 11h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $60 13h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $60 14h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $60 15h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $60 23h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $60 24h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $60 29h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $60 31h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $60 35h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $60 37h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 38h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 41h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $60 41h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $60 42h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 2d
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $61 2d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 2d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 2d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 2d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $61 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $61 3d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 3d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 3d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 3d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 3d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $61 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 185 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 250 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.39 · official $59.39 (match) · 1377 history records