Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cc8…0054
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses5 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$6 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$29 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$10 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -11.9% -20.3% 45% 27% -11.6%
≤30d 11 -11.9% -20.3% 45% 27% -11.6%
≤90d 11 -11.9% -20.3% 45% 27% -11.6%
all 11 -11.9% -20.3% 45% 27% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 27% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 27% -20.0%
15% -34.9% 18% -27.8%
20% -41.3% 18% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 29 history records