Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:31:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cc6…076e
crypto · 1231 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$949 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$942 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$942
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses489 / 734
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1223 / 1231
History coverage31d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day62.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 1223 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$152
7 days−$466
14 days−$518
30 days−$938
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ 10¢ $8 $2 −$7 (-81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Chicago Cubs 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$9 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$932
sports 11% −$33
other 1% +$17
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-28.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 452 -21.2% -28.7% 32% 28% -18.1%
≤30d 1185 -21.9% -29.4% 40% 33% -18.6%
≤90d 1223 -21.2% -28.7% 40% 33% -18.3%
all 1223 -21.2% -28.7% 40% 33% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.7% 33% -18.3%
10% ← realistic here -35.6% 26% -26.1%
15% -41.8% 21% -33.3%
20% -47.5% 17% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.65 · official $1.65 (match) · 2664 history records