Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:25:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cad…fa3f
crypto · 139 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$26,842 -302%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26,842 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,827
Realized−$26,842
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses93 / 478
Open positions0
Markets (closed)571 / 139
History coverage15d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day224.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 571 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26,828
7 days−$25,995
14 days−$26,623
30 days−$26,842
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $156 $217 +$61 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $108 $141 +$33 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $85 $121 +$36 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $82 $111 +$29 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $86 $99 +$13 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $55 $98 +$43 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $80 $98 +$18 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $74 $97 +$23 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $56 $97 +$41 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $60 $79 +$19 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $33 $79 +$46 (+138%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $24 $49 +$25 (+105%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $27 $49 +$22 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $27 $49 +$23 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $26 $49 +$23 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $22 $47 +$25 (+115%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 12¢ 100¢ $4 $33 +$29 (+733%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 15¢ 100¢ $5 $33 +$28 (+567%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $21 $28 +$7 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 31¢ 100¢ $8 $26 +$18 (+226%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $22 $25 +$3 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $12 $21 +$8 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $9 $16 +$7 (+76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $9 $15 +$6 (+68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $9 $15 +$6 (+62%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $156 +$61 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $108 +$33 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$36 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $82 +$29 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$13 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$43 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $80 +$18 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $74 +$23 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$41 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$38 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$25 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$22 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$23 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$23 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$50 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$29 +733%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$18 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $401 −$401 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$209
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-69.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 520 -72.4% -75.1% 13% 13% -84.0%
≤30d 571 -66.6% -69.8% 16% 16% -78.1%
≤90d 571 -66.6% -69.8% 16% 16% -78.1%
all 571 -66.6% -69.8% 16% 16% -78.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover224.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -69.8% 16% -78.1%
10% ← realistic here -72.7% 15% -80.2%
15% -75.3% 13% -82.1%
20% -77.8% 11% -83.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,826.84 · official $1,826.84 (match) · 3500 history records