Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:47:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9caa…3f9d
crypto · 1993 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,547 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,548 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$99
Realized+$2,548
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses961 / 658
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1619 / 1993
History coverage25d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day126.8
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1619 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$722
7 days−$499
14 days+$884
30 days+$2,548
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$3,700
politics 9% +$29
other 2% +$216
sports 0% −$6
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $101 6m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 3¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 530 -43.4% -48.8% 28% 28% -26.7%
≤30d 1619 +17.2% +6.0% 59% 59% +11.3%
≤90d 1619 +17.2% +6.0% 59% 59% +11.3%
all 1619 +17.2% +6.0% 59% 59% +11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover126.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.0% 59% +11.3%
10% ← realistic here -4.1% 59% +0.6%
15% -13.4% 59% -9.1%
20% -21.9% 59% -18.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.21 · official $99.21 (match) · 3500 history records