trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | Team Falcons | 46¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Valencia vs. Joventut | Joventut | 47¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Spurs | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage | Global Esports | 42¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Arizona Diamondbacks | 18¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | Houston Astros | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Atlanta Braves | 40¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto | Matias Soto | 16¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs | Jun 13 | $14 | −$9 | -65% |
| Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 11 | $22 | −$5 | -25% |
| LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner | Jun 11 | $10 | +$34 | +325% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 11 | $125 | −$2 | -1% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | Jun 11 | $27 | +$16 | +60% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 11 | $8 | −$1 | -10% |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | Jun 11 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $11 | −$2 | -15% |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | Jun 11 | $20 | −$4 | -22% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 11 | $17 | −$5 | -31% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | -20% |
| Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou | Jun 10 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Valencia vs. Joventut | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro | Jun 10 | $3 | +$1 | +20% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 10 | $5 | −$4 | -67% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | Jun 10 | $52 | −$4 | -8% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 10 | $8 | +$18 | +226% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 10 | $3 | +$17 | +474% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 10 | $8 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) | Jun 10 | $8 | +$8 | +93% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto | Jun 09 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 04 | $21 | $0 | -1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 28 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 21% | 21% | -10.9% |
| ≤30d | 30 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 20% | 20% | -10.9% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 20% | 20% | -10.9% |
| all | 30 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 20% | 20% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 20% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 17% | -19.4% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 17% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 17% | -34.3% |