Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c82…f315
crypto · 1206 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses799 / 406
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1205 / 1206
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day240.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1205 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$56
14 days−$59
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 64¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 360 -4.1% -13.3% 62% 50% -16.5%
≤30d 1205 -0.3% -9.8% 66% 54% -11.7%
≤90d 1205 -0.3% -9.8% 66% 54% -11.7%
all 1205 -0.3% -9.8% 66% 54% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover240.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 54% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 41% -20.1%
15% -26.3% 22% -27.9%
20% -33.6% 8% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.04 · official $1.14 (match) · 3500 history records