trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 57 | -13.8% | -22.1% | 35% | 28% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.1% | 28% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -29.5% | 28% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -36.3% | 28% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -42.6% | 26% | -34.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 18 | $124 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 06 | $123 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 17 | $126 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 11 | $2,115 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 11 | $2,037 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 10 | $2,045 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 09 | $2,071 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 08 | $2,045 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 06 | $1,800 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 29-January 4? | Jan 06 | $285 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11? | Dec 16 | $1,485 | +$1 | +0% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Panthers | Dec 02 | $144 | −$144 | -100% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Nov 29 | $1,615 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 25 | $1,602 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 22 | $1,628 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Nov 16 | $1,623 | −$2 | -0% |
| Kings vs. Maple Leafs | Nov 15 | $142 | +$108 | +75% |
| Capitals vs. Panthers | Nov 13 | $161 | −$161 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Canadiens | Nov 13 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Jazz | Nov 13 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 11 | $1,029 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 7? | Nov 07 | $1,800 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Nov 02 | $1,800 | −$2 | -0% |
| Penguins vs. Flyers | Nov 01 | $230 | +$158 | +69% |
| Jets vs. Wild | Nov 01 | $224 | +$206 | +92% |
| Capitals vs. Stars | Nov 01 | $252 | +$190 | +75% |
| Senators vs. Blackhawks | Oct 28 | $229 | −$229 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Sabres | Oct 28 | $276 | −$276 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Flyers | Oct 27 | $5 | +$4 | +89% |
| Islanders vs. Senators | Oct 27 | $4 | +$6 | +133% |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Oct 18 | $6 | +$8 | +133% |
| Stars vs. Blues | Oct 18 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Oilers vs. Devils | Oct 18 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Sabres | Oct 18 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Sabres | Oct 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkats | Oct 15 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State | Oct 15 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Celtics | Oct 13 | $6 | +$6 | +100% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Oct 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Bulls | Oct 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Oct 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Oct 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Oct 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Padres vs. Cubs | Oct 03 | $7 | +$6 | +92% |
| Red Sox vs. Yankees | Oct 03 | $12 | +$7 | +61% |
| Dodgers vs. Phillies | Oct 02 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Guardians | Oct 02 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Mercury vs. Aces | Oct 02 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Reds vs. Dodgers | Oct 02 | $7 | +$3 | +39% |