trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | Jun 12 | $26 | −$6 | -21% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | Jun 12 | $0 | +$215 | +53861150% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | Jun 12 | $0 | +$734 | +244589300% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 10 | $117 | +$1,658 | +1412% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +1347.7% | +1209.8% | 75% | 75% | +1030.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +1347.7% | +1209.8% | 75% | 75% | +1030.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +1347.7% | +1209.8% | 75% | 75% | +1030.3% |
| all | 4 | +1347.7% | +1209.8% | 75% | 75% | +1030.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +1209.8% | 75% | +1030.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +1084.5% | 75% | +922.1% |
| 15% | +970.1% | 75% | +823.4% |
| 20% | +865.1% | 75% | +732.9% |