Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:25:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c65…b9ee
crypto · 197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,426 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,696 · open +$50
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$123
Realized−$7,696
Unrealized+$50
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses72 / 120
Whale WR (big bets)27%
Open positions5
Markets (closed)192 / 197
History coverage402d
Avg bet$487
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 5 History 192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$45
14 days−$90
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $43 $90 +$47 (+109%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $18 $27 +$9 (+50%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-72%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $2 +$8 +467%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $8 −$2 -24%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $1 +$1 +88%
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $1 +$5 +828%
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 10 $8 +$11 +127%
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential ele Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 09 $60 −$33 -56%
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential ele Jun 08 $10 −$9 -89%
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential ele Jun 08 $16 −$11 -72%
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential ele Jun 08 $0 $0 -4%
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential ele Jun 07 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10AM ET Jun 04 $4 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 7AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 12AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11AM ET Jun 04 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12PM ET Jun 04 $8 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2PM ET Jun 04 $11 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 10AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 7AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 1PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9AM ET Jun 04 $11 −$10 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12PM ET Jun 04 $7 −$4 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jan 02 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 5AM ET Jan 02 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6PM ET Jan 01 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jan 01 $1 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jan 01 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jan 01 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1PM ET Jan 01 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jan 01 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10AM ET Jan 01 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8AM ET Jan 01 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jan 01 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6AM ET Jan 01 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 46% −$129
politics 44% −$2,093
other 10% −$5,188
crypto 1% −$147
culture 0% −$16
tech 0% −$72
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 1¢ $1 32m
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 1¢ $2 45m
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $18 57m
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $3 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $5 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $9 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $6 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $2 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +87.0% +69.2% 38% 38% -40.0%
≤30d 38 -15.6% -23.7% 16% 13% -46.3%
≤90d 38 -15.6% -23.7% 16% 13% -46.3%
all 192 +4.1% -5.8% 38% 31% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.8% 31% -16.9%
10% -14.8% 25% -24.8%
15% -23.1% 20% -32.1%
20% -30.6% 15% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $122.69 · official $122.69 (match) · 3500 history records