Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c5f…7ea6
other · 53 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$54 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses11 / 41
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)52 / 53
History coverage614d
Avg bet$342
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $12 $0 -0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 06 $6 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $75 $0 -0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? Jun 05 $13 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $130 in May? Jun 05 $22 $0 +0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $10 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 26 $77 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees May 22 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 21 $14 $0 -0%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 19 $12 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 18 $61 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 18 $64 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-13? May 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 12 $64 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $68 $0 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 08 $63 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $69 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 30 $67 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 23 $64 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $70 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $63 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $63 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 22 $65 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 19 $67 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 18 $64 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 18 $67 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 17 $71 $0 -0%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $9 +$5 +50%
Sabres vs. Rangers Apr 09 $9 +$6 +72%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $14 +$3 +24%
76ers vs. Spurs Apr 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers Apr 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Capitals vs. Blues Apr 02 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? Apr 02 $24 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March? Apr 02 $47 $0 +0%
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? Mar 24 $23 +$7 +32%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Mar 05 $4 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February? Mar 05 $88 +$2 +2%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 09 $83 +$5 +6%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 03 $13,551 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 07 $2 $0 -1%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $39 −$1 -2%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 12 $25 −$1 -3%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 28 $20 $0 -1%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 08 $21 $0 -2%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $352 −$3 -1%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 31 $364 −$4 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 75% −$14
politics 17% −$11
other 5% −$5
crypto 1% +$2
sports 1% −$32
tech 0% +$5
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $9 1h
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 5d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 5d
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $6 6d
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $6 6d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 7d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 7d
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $13 15d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Solana reach $130 in May? BUY No 100¢ $22 20d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $14 21d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $14 21d
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 61¢ $12 22d
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? SELL No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 23d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 23d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $61 24d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $61 24d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $64 25d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $64 25d
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-13? BUY Yes 44¢ $6 30d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $64 31d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $64 31d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $68 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 15 -13.4% -21.7% 13% 0% -13.6%
≤90d 39 -10.9% -19.3% 21% 10% -11.6%
all 52 -8.2% -16.9% 21% 8% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.9% 8% -9.8%
10% -24.9% 8% -18.4%
15% -32.1% 4% -26.3%
20% -38.8% 2% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.99 · official $8.99 (match) · 267 history records