Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:58:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c39…36c6
sports · 152 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,001 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$235 · open −$444
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$763
Realized−$235
Unrealized−$444
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses51 / 99
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$1,390
Open positions2
Markets (closed)150 / 152
History coverage37d
Avg bet$361
Trades / day41.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$125
7 days−$366
14 days−$108
30 days+$875
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 54¢ 56¢ $541 $564 +$23 (+4%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Top Esports 35¢ 10¢ $666 $199 −$467 (-70%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 17¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI HANJIN BRION 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 1¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 4¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 0¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 1¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 3¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 11¢ 0¢ $406 $0 −$406 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 4¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 16¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Team WE 1¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 19¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 7¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 2¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $12 +$5 +41%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $683 +$80 +12%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $325 −$7 -2%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $818 +$77 +10%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $87 −$21 -24%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $361 −$248 -69%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $246 −$195 -79%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $962 −$11 -1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $230 +$38 +16%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $193 +$161 +84%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $122 −$15 -12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $282 +$29 +10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $340 −$16 -5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $26 −$26 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 +$103 +574%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $592 −$19 -3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,315 −$80 -6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $913 +$57 +6%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $185 −$181 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $569 −$39 -7%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $607 +$48 +8%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $75 −$75 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $279 −$22 -8%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $26 −$25 -97%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $100 −$38 -38%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $547 +$44 +8%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $212 −$14 -7%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1,147 −$30 -3%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $275 −$42 -15%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $389 −$100 -26%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $285 +$20 +7%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $338 +$32 +9%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $605 +$56 +9%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $65 +$135 +208%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $98 +$72 +74%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $4 −$4 -97%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $354 +$51 +14%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $31 +$3 +8%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $667 −$155 -23%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $142 +$38 +26%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $511 +$35 +7%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $861 +$81 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$679
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 55¢ $1 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 55¢ $187 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 55¢ $11 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 55¢ $2 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 54¢ $344 6m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 10¢ $91 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 10¢ $0 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 10¢ $2 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 10¢ $4 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 10¢ $0 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 10¢ $1 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 63¢ $89 22m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 63¢ $174 22m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 63¢ $8 22m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 63¢ $118 22m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 63¢ $26 22m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 63¢ $153 22m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 50¢ $72 29m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 58¢ $0 32m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 57¢ $56 32m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 58¢ $27 32m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $18 49m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $12 49m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 8¢ $78 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 4¢ $26 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 4¢ $7 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 4¢ $7 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 10¢ $28 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 10¢ $17 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 10¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+60.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +81.3% +64.0% 35% 27% -15.3%
≤30d 119 +100.0% +80.9% 38% 26% -4.1%
≤90d 150 +77.1% +60.2% 34% 24% -9.1%
all 150 +77.1% +60.2% 34% 24% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +60.2% 24% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here +44.9% 17% -17.8%
15% +30.9% 17% -25.8%
20% +18.1% 16% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $763.20 · official $763.30 (match) · 1541 history records