Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T07:58:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9C 0x9c38…9e50 crypto 256 markets active 0h ago coverage 149d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$323 (-6%) realized −$323 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate52%134W / 122L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day4.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$48
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$360
other 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -4.6% -13.7% 94% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 43 -5.3% -14.3% 93% 0% -11.7%
≤90d 166 -12.7% -21.0% 57% 29% -17.7%
all 256 -13.2% -21.4% 52% 33% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.4% 33% -14.5%
10% -28.9% 30% -22.7%
15% -35.8% 28% -30.2%
20% -42.1% 28% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
36% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$10 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

149d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$323
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses134 / 122
Open positions0
Markets (closed)256 / 256
History coverage149d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 256 Trades
no open positions (57 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $38 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $11 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $49 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $41 +$4 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 18 $23 −$22 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $47 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $48 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 08 $49 −$49 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 08 $49 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 08 $49 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 08 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 08 $49 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $48 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 08 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 08 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 04 $49 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 04 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Apr 18 $150 −$61 -41%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Apr 18 $127 −$54 -43%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Apr 18 $54 −$51 -96%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Apr 18 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Apr 18 $2 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Apr 18 $15 −$15 -96%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Apr 18 $3 −$1 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $38 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $41 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $23 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $47 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $48 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 805 history records