Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:22:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9C 0x9c30…7b50 crypto 1231 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$11 (+0%) realized +$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate82%1009W / 222L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day52.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$14
14 days−$17
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 -2.9% -12.2% 83% 21% -12.7%
≤30d 1231 -1.0% -10.4% 82% 29% -10.2%
≤90d 1231 -1.0% -10.4% 82% 29% -10.2%
all 1231 -1.0% -10.4% 82% 29% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 29% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 9% -18.8%
15% -26.8% 1% -26.6%
20% -34.0% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
59% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1009 / 222
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1231 / 1231
History coverage28d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day52.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1231 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2669 history records