Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:51:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9C 0x9c2d…646b crypto 299 markets active 2d ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (441 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$383 (+1%) realized +$383 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -53% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -64% what you keep after slip
Net edge-64%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate23%123W / 414L
Whale WR79%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$220per market
Trades / day440.7pace
Fees−$31est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 8d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$914
sports 3% −$902
other 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (441 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-57.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 239 -99.0% -99.1% 0% 0% -99.5%
≤30d 537 -53.2% -57.7% 23% 22% -27.0%
≤90d 537 -53.2% -57.7% 23% 22% -27.0%
all 537 -53.2% -57.7% 23% 22% -27.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover440.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.7% 22% -27.0%
10% ← realistic here -61.7% 20% -34.0%
15% -65.4% 18% -40.3%
20% -68.8% 15% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -53% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 79% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -14% → late -92% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
10.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$191 vs −$91 · ×2.09 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$383
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses123 / 414
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)537 / 299
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$220
Trades / day440.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 537 Trades
no open positions (343 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. FC Imabari: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $5 −$10 -189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$18 -185%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Jun 17 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $68 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $116 −$116 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 71¢ $2 2d
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $12 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $30 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $14 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $41 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $25 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $20 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $12 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $16 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $13 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records