Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:51:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c2c…e0a7
crypto · 76 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$33 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$231 · open +$198
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,128
Realized−$231
Unrealized+$198
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses43 / 29
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions4
Markets (closed)72 / 76
History coverage112d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 4 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days+$29
14 days−$389
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 71¢ 74¢ $400 $413 +$13 (+3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 59¢ 99¢ $210 $353 +$143 (+68%)
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 85¢ 87¢ $240 $246 +$6 (+3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 63¢ 92¢ $80 $116 +$36 (+45%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca Joao Fonseca 69¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Joao Fonseca 25¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Rafael Jodar 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $50 +$15 +29%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $72 −$70 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $25 +$42 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $101 +$42 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $405 +$52 +13%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $6 +$3 +48%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 06 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 05 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 05 $11 +$39 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 05 $76 −$75 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 05 $50 +$113 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 05 $153 −$150 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 05 $23 +$26 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 05 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$30 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $153 −$150 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $10 −$10 -97%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 01 $102 +$161 +158%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? May 31 $103 −$55 -53%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $101 +$95 +93%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $131 +$55 +42%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $202 −$200 -99%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $127 −$125 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $51 +$210 +410%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic May 27 $202 +$120 +60%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 13 $50 −$31 -62%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca May 09 $30 −$30 -99%
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? Apr 28 $40 +$36 +90%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24? Apr 24 $141 +$18 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24? Apr 24 $20 +$21 +104%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 24? Apr 23 $80 +$8 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23? Apr 23 $75 +$24 +31%
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 22 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Apr 22 $51 +$17 +34%
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton Apr 17 $39 +$71 +181%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Apr 17 $40 −$1 -2%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev Apr 10 $20 +$7 +35%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Apr 09 $85 −$85 -100%
Will CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Apr 05 $10 +$6 +57%
Lakers vs. Thunder Apr 05 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? Apr 01 $50 +$15 +29%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? Apr 01 $23 +$8 +36%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? Apr 01 $34 +$7 +20%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? Mar 31 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 26% −$229
crypto 25% +$20
sports 23% +$424
politics 14% −$12
world 7% −$157
finance 4% −$55
culture 1% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $71 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 72¢ $50 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 62¢ $30 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 64¢ $51 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 6h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $51 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $51 7h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $50 7h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $41 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 31h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $25 35h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $101 35h
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 71¢ $405 2d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev SELL Alexander Zverev 87¢ $70 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev SELL Alexander Zverev 82¢ $77 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev SELL Alexander Zverev 80¢ $99 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev SELL Alexander Zverev 72¢ $10 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 77¢ $20 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 80¢ $101 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 77¢ $151 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 75¢ $22 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 79¢ $111 5d
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 72¢ $124 6d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 67¢ $6 6d
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? SELL Yes 22¢ $7 6d
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +0.3% -9.3% 67% 56% -5.9%
≤30d 31 +28.4% +16.2% 52% 45% -11.7%
≤90d 63 +5.5% -4.6% 54% 44% -18.0%
all 72 +7.6% -2.6% 60% 46% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.6% 46% -13.9%
10% -12.0% 36% -22.1%
15% -20.5% 28% -29.6%
20% -28.3% 19% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,127.76 · official $1,127.76 (match) · 207 history records