Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:58:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c2c…dc30
crypto · 695 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$440 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,019 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$2,019
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses369 / 670
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1039 / 695
History coverage10d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day288.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1039 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,720
7 days−$2,556
14 days−$2,019
30 days−$2,019
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 77¢ 68¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$747
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-36.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 592 -68.5% -71.5% 17% 16% -79.2%
≤30d 1039 -30.0% -36.7% 36% 32% -29.7%
≤90d 1039 -30.0% -36.7% 36% 32% -29.7%
all 1039 -30.0% -36.7% 36% 32% -29.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover288.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.7% 32% -29.7%
10% ← realistic here -42.8% 27% -36.4%
15% -48.3% 23% -42.6%
20% -53.4% 19% -48.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.42 · official $2.42 (match) · 3500 history records