trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +133.8% | +111.5% | 100% | 100% | +68.5% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +52.4% | +37.8% | 92% | 58% | +58.2% |
| all | 17 | +37.7% | +24.5% | 94% | 41% | +56.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +24.5% | 41% | +56.7% |
| 10% | +12.6% | 41% | +41.7% |
| 15% | +1.7% | 41% | +28.0% |
| 20% | -8.2% | 35% | +15.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 70¢ | 66¢ | $150 | $142 | −$7 (-5%) |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5 | Under | 71¢ | 80¢ | $110 | $125 | +$15 (+13%) |
| Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran? | Yes | 72¢ | 68¢ | $130 | $124 | −$6 (-5%) |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 48¢ | 38¢ | $66 | $52 | −$14 (-22%) |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | IR Iran | 58¢ | 60¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $30 | $27 | −$3 (-9%) |
| Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $30 | $22 | −$8 (-25%) |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 39¢ | 52¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 (+32%) |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Jun 06 | $51 | +$47 | +93% |
| Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Alexander Donski | Jun 06 | $101 | +$77 | +76% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit? | Jun 06 | $3 | +$7 | +214% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Jun 06 | $4 | +$6 | +152% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | May 13 | $6 | +$3 | +41% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | May 13 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners | Apr 21 | $256 | +$195 | +76% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 | Apr 17 | $152 | +$111 | +73% |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? | Apr 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Cindy Hyde-Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate from Missis | Apr 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand? | Apr 13 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | Apr 13 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | Mar 09 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meetin | Feb 24 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting | Feb 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 24 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | Jan 22 | $1 | $0 | +0% |