Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:11:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9C 0x9c13…4b42 crypto 33 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$12,331 (-81%) realized −$15,286 · open +$12
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -53% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -64% what you keep after slip
Net edge-64%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate21%13W / 49L
Whale WR25%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$461per market
Trades / day3470.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$80now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15,286
7 days−$15,286
14 days−$15,286
30 days−$15,286
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$829
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-57.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -52.7% -57.2% 21% 18% -56.3%
≤30d 62 -52.7% -57.2% 21% 18% -56.3%
≤90d 62 -52.7% -57.2% 21% 18% -56.3%
all 62 -52.7% -57.2% 21% 18% -56.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3470.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.2% 18% -56.3%
10% ← realistic here -61.3% 13% -60.5%
15% -65.1% 11% -64.3%
20% -68.5% 6% -67.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 44% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -52% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -53% · $-wt -52% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 25% (≥$547) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -7% → late -98% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
105.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$247 vs −$378 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.17 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$80
Realized−$15,286
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses13 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)62 / 33
History coverage1d
Avg bet$461
Trades / day3470.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 62 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 42¢ 50¢ $68 $80 +$12 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $283 $0 −$283 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1,411 $0 −$1,411 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $336 $0 −$336 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $677 $0 −$677 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $257 $0 −$257 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $393 $0 −$393 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $928 $0 −$928 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $353 $0 −$353 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $887 $0 −$887 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3,603 $0 −$3,603 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $259 $0 −$259 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1,814 $0 −$1,814 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1,315 $0 −$1,315 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $283 −$283 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $1,411 −$1,411 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $336 −$336 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $257 −$257 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $393 −$393 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $928 −$928 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $353 −$353 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $887 −$887 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $3,603 −$3,603 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $259 −$259 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $190 −$190 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $230 −$230 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1,814 −$1,814 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1,315 −$1,315 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $547 −$547 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $689 −$689 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $463 −$186 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $292 +$176 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $273 −$15 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $412 +$78 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $370 −$99 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $471 +$503 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $374 −$75 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $493 +$244 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $311 −$29 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $435 +$103 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $470 +$25 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $211 −$41 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $401 −$108 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $352 +$26 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $332 +$46 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $612 −$85 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $379 −$22 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $345 −$73 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $316 −$306 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $565 −$223 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $79.93 · official $74.98 · 3500 history records