Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:06:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9bfb…dc47
crypto · 837 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,038 +52%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,040 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$1,040
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses9 / 498
Open positions2
Markets (closed)507 / 837
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2543.7
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 507 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,040
7 days+$1,040
14 days+$1,040
30 days+$1,040
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,750
other 0% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 16m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-65.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 507 -62.2% -65.8% 2% 2% -21.5%
≤30d 507 -62.2% -65.8% 2% 2% -21.5%
≤90d 507 -62.2% -65.8% 2% 2% -21.5%
all 507 -62.2% -65.8% 2% 2% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2543.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -65.8% 2% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -69.1% 2% -29.0%
15% -72.1% 2% -35.9%
20% -74.8% 2% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.52 · official $2.52 (match) · 3500 history records