Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:13:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9bfb…811e
crypto · 657 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$42 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$132 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$132
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses349 / 308
Open positions0
Markets (closed)657 / 657
History coverage101d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day28.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 657 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days−$31
14 days−$42
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$132
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 322 -1.3% -10.7% 65% 26% -10.8%
≤30d 420 -1.8% -11.2% 61% 29% -11.4%
≤90d 654 -2.0% -11.3% 53% 20% -11.5%
all 657 -1.8% -11.1% 53% 20% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 20% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 14% -19.9%
15% -27.4% 7% -27.7%
20% -34.5% 2% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3270 history records