Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:29:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9bef…5a8c crypto 55 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (225 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$719 (-26%) realized −$719 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -35% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -50% what you keep after slip
Net edge-50%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate27%15W / 40L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day225.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$901
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (225 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-40.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -34.7% -40.9% 27% 27% -39.0%
≤30d 55 -34.7% -40.9% 27% 27% -39.0%
≤90d 55 -34.7% -40.9% 27% 27% -39.0%
all 55 -34.7% -40.9% 27% 27% -39.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover225.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.9% 27% -39.0%
10% ← realistic here -46.6% 27% -44.9%
15% -51.8% 27% -50.2%
20% -56.5% 27% -55.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -33% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -35% · $-wt -33% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -56% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$67 vs −$48 · ×1.41 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$719
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses15 / 40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)55 / 55
History coverage1d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day225.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 55 Trades
no open positions (39 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $52 +$30 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $96 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$89 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $48 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$74 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $53 +$62 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $48 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $43 −$41 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$70 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$63 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$64 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$63 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$62 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$70 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$74 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$81 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $53 +$62 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$51 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $46 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 241 history records