Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9bd0…3b7e
crypto · 959 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$31
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses357 / 601
Open positions1
Markets (closed)958 / 959
History coverage20d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day74.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 958 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$2
14 days−$12
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+64%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+64%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 62¢ 80¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 446 +0.5% -9.1% 39% 39% -9.6%
≤30d 958 +5.3% -4.7% 37% 37% -8.7%
≤90d 958 +5.3% -4.7% 37% 37% -8.7%
all 958 +5.3% -4.7% 37% 37% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 37% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 37% -17.5%
15% -22.2% 37% -25.4%
20% -29.8% 37% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.03 · official $14.07 (match) · 2997 history records