Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:55:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9bcf…8fbc
finance · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$98 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP finance specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses4 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)10 / 11
History coverage189d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$78
14 days−$78
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers 98¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $9 +$3 +28%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 11? Jun 11 $13 −$5 -36%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$9 +214%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $70 −$70 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? Jun 10 $92 +$30 +32%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10? Jun 10 $9 −$2 -20%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? Jun 09 $142 −$55 -39%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 9? Jun 09 $62 +$37 +60%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele Jun 09 $80 −$23 -29%
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? Dec 09 $14 −$9 -67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 64% +$13
politics 16% −$23
sports 14% −$70
economics 3% −$9
other 2% −$11
tech 2% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $11 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 77¢ $9 11h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 11? SELL Yes 31¢ $8 26h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 11? BUY Yes 45¢ $13 26h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? SELL Yes 95¢ $13 26h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? BUY Yes 29¢ $4 31h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 98¢ $70 45h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $67 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10? SELL No 29¢ $7 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10? BUY No 34¢ $9 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? BUY No 74¢ $51 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? SELL No 40¢ $54 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? BUY No 29¢ $41 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? SELL Yes 34¢ $45 3d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? BUY Yes 66¢ $91 3d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? SELL Yes 47¢ $22 3d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? BUY Yes 62¢ $30 3d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? SELL Yes 41¢ $20 3d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? BUY Yes 41¢ $20 3d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 9? SELL Yes 49¢ $40 3d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 9? SELL Yes 54¢ $59 3d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 9? BUY Yes 31¢ $62 3d
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele SELL Yes 19¢ $57 3d
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? SELL Yes 2¢ $5 185d
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? BUY Yes 7¢ $14 188d
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele BUY Yes 26¢ $80 188d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +12.2% +1.5% 44% 44% -24.1%
≤30d 9 +12.2% +1.5% 44% 44% -24.1%
≤90d 9 +12.2% +1.5% 44% 44% -24.1%
all 10 +4.2% -5.7% 40% 40% -25.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.7% 40% -25.4%
10% -14.7% 40% -32.5%
15% -23.0% 20% -39.1%
20% -30.5% 20% -45.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 210 history records