trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? | Apr 18 | $200 | −$197 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 2 Manchester United FC? | Apr 18 | $30 | −$29 | -97% |
| Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorer | Apr 18 | $40 | −$39 | -98% |
| Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5 | Apr 18 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | Apr 18 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 1 Manchester United FC? | Apr 18 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 3 Manchester United FC? | Apr 18 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 3 Manchester United FC? | Apr 18 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC? | Apr 18 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 3 Manchester United FC? | Apr 18 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $30 | +$179 | +595% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Apr 15 | $200 | +$77 | +38% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $300 | +$206 | +69% |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF? | Apr 15 | $35 | −$34 | -97% |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF? | Apr 15 | $40 | −$39 | -98% |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF? | Apr 15 | $25 | −$24 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Liverpool FC? | Apr 09 | $20 | +$196 | +981% |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | Apr 08 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | Apr 08 | $300 | −$293 | -98% |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid? | Apr 08 | $30 | −$29 | -97% |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid? | Apr 08 | $30 | −$29 | -97% |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid? | Apr 08 | $30 | −$29 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Liverpool FC? | Apr 08 | $30 | −$29 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC? | Apr 08 | $30 | −$29 | -97% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 08 | $250 | +$1,786 | +714% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Apr 08 | $150 | +$266 | +177% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 26 | +22.1% | +10.5% | 23% | 23% | +58.2% |
| all | 26 | +22.1% | +10.5% | 23% | 23% | +58.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.5% | 23% | +58.2% |
| 10% | -0.1% | 23% | +43.1% |
| 15% | -9.8% | 23% | +29.2% |
| 20% | -18.6% | 19% | +16.6% |