Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:15:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9bc1…830e
crypto · 181 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
−$3,609 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,609 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,609
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses107 / 74
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)181 / 181
History coverage47d
Avg bet$123
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 181 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$540
7 days−$540
14 days−$540
30 days−$3,631
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$14 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $304 −$304 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $202 +$121 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $409 −$400 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$64 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $62 +$46 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$16 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -94%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $840 −$781 -93%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $911 −$675 -74%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $508 +$591 +116%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $704 +$139 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 17 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 17 $104 +$152 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 17 $103 +$74 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 17 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 16 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 16 $103 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 16 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 16 $103 +$84 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 16 $12 −$7 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 16 $509 +$162 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 16 $102 +$92 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 16 $409 +$139 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 16 $103 +$80 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 16 $103 −$95 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 16 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 16 $42 −$35 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 16 $103 +$90 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 16 $205 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 16 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 16 $104 +$143 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 16 $711 +$173 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 16 $607 +$107 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 16 $406 +$101 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 16 $404 +$63 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 16 $31 +$27 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 16 $51 +$26 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 16 $42 +$30 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 16 $104 +$108 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 16 $103 +$52 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 16 $10 +$13 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 16 $52 −$46 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 16 $103 +$62 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 16 $62 +$44 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 16 $103 +$92 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 16 $52 −$50 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$2,876
other 13% −$733
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $304 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $324 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $315 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $108 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $62 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $294 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $32 12h
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? SELL Yes 4¢ $58 24d
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 56¢ $128 24d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? SELL Yes 14¢ $126 24d
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 55¢ $712 24d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? SELL Yes 16¢ $0 24d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? SELL Yes 18¢ $93 24d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 61¢ $911 24d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? SELL Yes 99¢ $1,100 26d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 45¢ $508 26d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? SELL Yes 100¢ $843 26d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 83¢ $704 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $21 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $104 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $177 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -15.1% -23.1% 40% 40% -45.7%
≤30d 102 +6.1% -4.0% 62% 60% -22.1%
≤90d 181 +5.7% -4.3% 59% 56% -21.9%
all 181 +5.7% -4.3% 59% 56% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.3% 56% -21.9%
10% -13.5% 48% -29.4%
15% -21.9% 43% -36.2%
20% -29.5% 35% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 385 history records