Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:35:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9bb9…e0ca
crypto · 212 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$608 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$608 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Net worth$0
Realized−$608
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses160 / 52
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)212 / 212
History coverage194d
Avg bet$91
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 212 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 84¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 66¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 10¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 68¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 71¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +109%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 27 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 24 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 24 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 24 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 24 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 24 $6 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 24 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 24 $8 −$5 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 24 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 24 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 24 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 24 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 24 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 24 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 03 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 03 $5 −$4 -80%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 03 $5 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 03 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 03 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 02 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 02 $6 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 01 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Apr 30 $2 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Apr 30 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Apr 30 $6 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Apr 29 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Apr 28 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Apr 27 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Apr 27 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Apr 26 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Apr 21 $2 +$3 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Apr 20 $2 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Apr 20 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$552
other 11% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 82¢ $3 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $6 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $6 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +10.1% -0.3% 67% 67% +12.6%
≤30d 21 -9.1% -17.8% 62% 29% -12.6%
≤90d 94 -12.1% -20.4% 69% 31% -16.6%
all 212 -5.3% -14.3% 75% 23% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 23% -12.3%
10% -22.5% 9% -20.7%
15% -30.0% 5% -28.4%
20% -36.9% 3% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 729 history records