Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:08:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9bb3…263d
other · 120 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$51 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses41 / 77
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)118 / 120
History coverage105d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit13%
Chart Positions 2 History 118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$166
14 days−$166
30 days−$182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 +$8 +162%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -50%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $9 +$10 +109%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -73%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $18 −$18 -99%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$13 +257%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $5 +$5 +90%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-03? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-03? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03? Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02? Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03? Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Jun 07 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 07 $46 −$46 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02? Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $5 +$10 +203%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $5 $0 -6%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $11 −$10 -96%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $5 −$4 -71%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $5 −$3 -53%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $35 +$10 +29%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $18 −$13 -68%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $10 −$7 -67%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $10 −$2 -22%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $12 +$8 +67%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $20 +$25 +124%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $10 −$9 -85%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 +$10 +101%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $15 −$5 -34%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $5 −$2 -39%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $13 +$11 +86%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 −$9 -88%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 +$6 +62%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $20 +$29 +146%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27? Apr 28 $10 +$9 +86%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw Apr 25 $10 −$9 -89%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $10 −$3 -25%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? Apr 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 92% −$48
sports 6% +$3
world 1% −$10
crypto 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $5 17m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 28m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 73¢ $13 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $9 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 30h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 30h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 2d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 61¢ $18 4d
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 4d
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 4d
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 4d
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 4d
Will India win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 4d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 99¢ $15 6d
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 52¢ $5 6d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 38¢ $5 6d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 39¢ $5 6d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 6d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 21d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? BUY Yes 50¢ $9 21d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 21d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 25d
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 41¢ $5 25d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 25d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 27d
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17? SELL Yes 23¢ $2 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -39.6% -45.4% 21% 21% -66.4%
≤30d 32 -42.8% -48.3% 19% 19% -67.6%
≤90d 110 -15.5% -23.6% 35% 34% -17.4%
all 118 -12.6% -20.9% 35% 33% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 33% -13.5%
10% -28.5% 33% -21.8%
15% -35.4% 32% -29.3%
20% -41.7% 31% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.76 · official $9.76 (match) · 245 history records