Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:45:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9ba4…e1f8
other · 105 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$17 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses8 / 97
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 105
History coverage108d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bulls vs. Lakers Bulls 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Bulls Rockets 78¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Mavericks Mavericks 29¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Nets vs. Trail Blazers Nets 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Jazz vs. 76ers Jazz 23¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Jazz Jazz 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 14 $10 $0 -0%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 11 $11 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $14 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 06 $12 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $11 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 24 $90 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 23 $87 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $149 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $97 $0 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 20 $75 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 18 $100 $0 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 16 $78 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 15 $103 $0 -0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? May 13 $273 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 13 $91 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 11 $99 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 10 $183 $0 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $165 $0 -0%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 10 $87 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio Apr 27 $77 $0 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 27 $150 $0 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 26 $96 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 26 $78 $0 -0%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 24 $103 $0 -0%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 24 $108 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? Apr 22 $93 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 22 $107 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 21 $113 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $101 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Apr 20 $91 $0 -0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $72 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $96 $0 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 18 $88 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 18 $69 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $73 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? Apr 16 $81 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $86 $0 -0%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 15 $67 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 14 $133 $0 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 14 $146 $0 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 13 $67 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 13 $158 $0 -0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 13 $73 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? Apr 12 $87 $0 -0%
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 12 $68 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $84 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 10 $75 $0 -0%
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 08 $141 $0 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 08 $68 $0 -0%
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 07 $95 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$4
politics 35% −$4
sports 8% +$23
tech 4% $0
crypto 3% $0
economics 2% $0
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 6h
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $11 2d
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $11 5d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $14 6d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $14 7d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 7d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 8d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $11 15d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $11 15d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $90 21d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $90 22d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $87 22d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $87 22d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $79 22d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $79 23d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $97 23d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $97 25d
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $75 25d
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $75 26d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $100 26d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $100 27d
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $78 29d
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $78 29d
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $103 29d
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $103 31d
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $98 31d
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $98 31d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $91 32d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $91 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 13 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 97 -2.4% -11.7% 5% 3% -9.8%
all 105 -0.5% -10.0% 8% 6% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 6% -9.4%
10% -18.6% 5% -18.0%
15% -26.5% 5% -26.0%
20% -33.7% 5% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 275 history records