Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:15:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b9e…ae15
other · 27 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$3,875 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,624 · open +$1,252
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,914
Realized+$2,624
Unrealized+$1,252
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses3 / 8
Open positions20
Markets (closed)11 / 27
History coverage2d
Avg bet$522
Trades / day106.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit10%
Chart Positions 20 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,655
7 days+$2,624
14 days+$2,624
30 days+$2,624
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 24¢ 52¢ $615 $1,350 +$736 (+120%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 28¢ 30¢ $1,108 $1,148 +$39 (+4%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 7¢ 21¢ $337 $1,057 +$720 (+214%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 83¢ 86¢ $834 $869 +$35 (+4%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 32¢ $170 $536 +$366 (+215%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $400 $420 +$20 (+5%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $139 $181 +$42 (+30%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 82¢ 84¢ $123 $127 +$4 (+3%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 26¢ 22¢ $124 $102 −$21 (-17%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 3¢ 8¢ $19 $48 +$30 (+159%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Yes 2¢ 4¢ $24 $40 +$16 (+65%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $73 $14 −$58 (-80%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+28%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-25%)
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-25%)
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+30%)
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $170 $1 −$169 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $170 $1 −$169 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $170 $1 −$169 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $170 $1 −$169 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 3¢ 0¢ $439 $0 −$439 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1,083 $0 −$1,083 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1,165 $0 −$1,165 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $7 +$43 +585%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -40%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $9 −$2 -26%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $502 +$5,592 +1114%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Jun 13 $2,604 −$409 -16%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $663 +$192 +29%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1,129 −$1,102 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $914 −$439 -48%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $56 −$53 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1,208 −$1,165 -96%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 11 $33 −$32 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 82% +$4,343
world 18% −$468
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $47 2h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $47 2h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $26 2h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $45 2h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $31 2h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $29 2h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $76 2h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $11 2h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $63 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 74¢ $30 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 74¢ $1,244 2h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $153 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $15 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $13 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $22 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $16 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $62 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $28 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 83¢ $432 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $22 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $30 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $23 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 75¢ $19 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 75¢ $44 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $493 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 75¢ $260 2h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $7 3h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $26 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+84.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +104.2% +84.7% 27% 27% +26.9%
≤30d 11 +104.2% +84.7% 27% 27% +26.9%
≤90d 11 +104.2% +84.7% 27% 27% +26.9%
all 11 +104.2% +84.7% 27% 27% +26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover106.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +84.7% 27% +26.9%
10% +67.1% 27% +14.8%
15% ← realistic here +50.9% 18% +3.7%
20% +36.1% 18% -6.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,913.72 · official $5,913.73 (match) · 239 history records