Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b9d…77de
sports · 198 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$417 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$399 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$670
Realized−$399
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses90 / 86
Est. fees paid−$91
Open positions22
Markets (closed)176 / 198
Avg bet$40
Trades / day62.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 22 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$110
7 days−$383
14 days−$399
30 days−$399
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 42¢ 26¢ $235 $147 −$88 (-37%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 62¢ $121 $122 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 73¢ 100¢ $61 $84 +$23 (+37%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ 74¢ $65 $65 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 73¢ 86¢ $49 $58 +$9 (+18%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Benjamin Bonzi 22¢ 22¢ $29 $30 +$1 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 57¢ $29 $30 +$1 (+3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Over 91¢ 90¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Dusan Lajovic 46¢ 57¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+24%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 46¢ 42¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 48¢ 46¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-3%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 83¢ 88¢ $12 $12 +$1 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 29¢ 14¢ $26 $12 −$14 (-54%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 69¢ 66¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-4%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 25¢ 40¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+58%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 49¢ 46¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-6%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 97¢ 96¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B DXA Esports 76¢ 95¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+25%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Alexander Shevchenko 59¢ 82¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+40%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 41¢ 42¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Dominika Salkova 48¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Zhizhen Zhang 44¢ 2¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-96%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar Laurence Teunissen 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $11 +$22 +206%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $147 −$27 -18%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $25 −$6 -22%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $18 +$1 +4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $8 −$7 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $20 +$7 +36%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $32 −$28 -90%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 Jun 12 $10 +$9 +93%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $313 +$100 +32%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $53 +$4 +8%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $301 +$17 +6%
ITF Los Angeles: Marcel Latak vs Nathan Trouve Jun 11 $8 +$1 +7%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +62%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $62 −$61 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $28 +$13 +46%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $74 −$35 -48%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $25 −$17 -70%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $25 +$8 +34%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $113 −$64 -57%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $13 −$1 -5%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $21 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $32 −$5 -14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $50 +$65 +130%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $17 +$4 +26%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $7 +$6 +83%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $20 +$9 +46%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $14 −$14 -99%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $85 −$48 -56%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $6 −$2 -38%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Jana Kovackova Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$340
other 17% −$80
politics 0% $0
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 4¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 92¢ $5 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 46¢ $14 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 90¢ $5 2m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 46¢ $9 13m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 46¢ $3 13m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 87¢ $7 13m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $2 14m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $7 14m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 83¢ $12 15m
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Dominika Salkova 48¢ $2 15m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 80¢ $6 17m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Alexander Shevchenko 59¢ $3 28m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 41¢ $2 29m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 41¢ $1 29m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 33¢ $11 30m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $11 30m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 27¢ $10 34m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $3 35m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $9 35m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $4 35m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $7 35m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $25 38m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 97¢ $5 42m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 22¢ $6 50m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 22¢ $24 50m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY DXA Esports 76¢ $4 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 48¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 93¢ $5 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 163 -6.3% -15.2% 51% 44% -14.6%
≤30d 176 -8.0% -16.7% 51% 43% -14.7%
≤90d 176 -8.0% -16.7% 51% 43% -14.7%
all 176 -8.0% -16.7% 51% 43% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 43% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 39% -22.9%
15% -32.0% 32% -30.3%
20% -38.7% 27% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $670.33 · official $670.34 (match) · 600 history records