Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:29:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b91…32c8
sports · 25 markets active 2h ago
7.0score
+$86 +29%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$30
Realized+$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses14 / 7
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)21 / 25
History coverage8d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 3 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$63
14 days+$86
30 days+$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane 50¢ 50¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card) Santiago Luna 48¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Yandex 44¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Yandex 27¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 17¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 47¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Aurora 40¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $20 +$8 +42%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$15 +146%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$5 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $16 +$22 +138%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $8 −$1 -12%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $7 −$7 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $23 +$25 +106%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $30 +$16 +52%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $7 +$8 +119%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $7 +$7 +93%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $17 +$21 +123%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 06 $7 −$7 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $7 +$3 +46%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $7 −$7 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $10 +$13 +130%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $5 +$7 +134%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $7 −$5 -70%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $5 +$3 +60%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $4 +$4 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$87
other 10% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 41¢ $15 27h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $20 28h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 62¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 11¢ $10 44h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $10 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 67¢ $10 45h
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 41¢ $7 45h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 22¢ $10 45h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $10 46h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 28¢ $6 46h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 58¢ $10 47h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 50¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 45¢ $8 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Yandex 27¢ $7 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 42¢ $10 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 48¢ $10 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL BetBoom Team 53¢ $3 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 65¢ $20 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 65¢ $10 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 48¢ $3 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 45¢ $7 6d
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main BUY Santiago Luna 48¢ $7 6d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Gabriel Bonfim 51¢ $7 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 27¢ $5 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 59¢ $5 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 61¢ $7 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Aurora 40¢ $7 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Aurora 68¢ $7 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +25.0% +13.1% 62% 62% +16.2%
≤30d 21 +34.7% +21.9% 67% 67% +21.2%
≤90d 21 +34.7% +21.9% 67% 67% +21.2%
all 21 +34.7% +21.9% 67% 67% +21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +21.9% 67% +21.2%
10% +10.2% 67% +9.6%
15% -0.4% 67% -1.0%
20% -10.2% 52% -10.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.91 · official $39.91 · 52 history records