Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b91…c898
crypto · 73 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$182 +37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$183 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$183
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses32 / 38
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)70 / 73
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day40.4
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 3 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$189
7 days+$183
14 days+$183
30 days+$183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$12 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$17 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$9 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $49 +$53 +108%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 +$66 +325%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$49
other 26% +$168
sports 5% +$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 43% +24.9%
≤30d 70 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 43% +24.9%
≤90d 70 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 43% +24.9%
all 70 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 43% +24.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 43% +24.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 41% +13.0%
15% -27.5% 41% +2.1%
20% -34.6% 37% -7.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.92 · official $4.92 (match) · 115 history records