Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b8e…74b4
crypto · 495 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$137 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$137 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$137
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses235 / 257
Open positions3
Markets (closed)492 / 495
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day649.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 492 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$137
7 days−$137
14 days−$137
30 days−$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 91¢ 80¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 58¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 71¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-46%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$108
other 9% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $0 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 28m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 40m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 492 -8.8% -17.5% 48% 45% -17.4%
≤30d 492 -8.8% -17.5% 48% 45% -17.4%
≤90d 492 -8.8% -17.5% 48% 45% -17.4%
all 492 -8.8% -17.5% 48% 45% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover649.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 45% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 34% -25.3%
15% -32.6% 25% -32.6%
20% -39.2% 19% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.17 · official $3.71 (match) · 1488 history records