Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:00:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9b8d…0055 crypto 105 markets active 6d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (132 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$19 (-1%) realized −$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate64%67W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day132.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (132 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -10.9% -19.4% 60% 47% -16.5%
≤30d 105 -6.6% -15.5% 64% 53% -12.8%
≤90d 105 -6.6% -15.5% 64% 53% -12.8%
all 105 -6.6% -15.5% 64% 53% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover132.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 53% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 39% -21.1%
15% -31.0% 26% -28.8%
20% -37.7% 19% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -18% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$10 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses67 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 105
History coverage2d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day132.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 105 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $47 −$29 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $19 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$11 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $51 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$11 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$18 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$8 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $22 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$6 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$22 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $45 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $36 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $11 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 315 history records