Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T04:59:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9b87…2911 crypto 31 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$25 (-18%) realized −$25 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate35%11W / 20L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day68.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 57% −$19
world 28% −$25
other 11% −$2
sports 3% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +0.4% -9.1% 35% 32% -38.5%
≤30d 31 +0.4% -9.1% 35% 32% -38.5%
≤90d 31 +0.4% -9.1% 35% 32% -38.5%
all 31 +0.4% -9.1% 35% 32% -38.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 32% -38.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 32% -44.4%
15% -25.8% 32% -49.8%
20% -33.0% 29% -54.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 33% · top 2 47% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -32% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -32% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +26% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses11 / 20
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day68.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 31 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $39 −$25 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$5 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$10 +491%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$5 +216%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $4 −$3 -90%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Jun 15 $3 $0 -15%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $2 −$1 -44%
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 15 $2 +$4 +213%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $4 −$1 -33%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $9 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 83 history records