Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b85…60e5
crypto · 455 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$528 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$530 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$6
Realized−$530
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses122 / 332
Open positions1
Markets (closed)454 / 455
Avg bet$30
Trades / day329.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 454 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$240
7 days−$447
14 days−$530
30 days−$530
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 0¢ 68¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 0¢ 32¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$528
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $15 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 389 -5.3% -14.3% 26% 5% -13.3%
≤30d 454 -4.8% -13.9% 27% 5% -13.0%
≤90d 454 -4.8% -13.9% 27% 5% -13.0%
all 454 -4.8% -13.9% 27% 5% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover329.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 5% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 3% -21.3%
15% -29.6% 2% -28.9%
20% -36.5% 2% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.00 · official $6.00 (match) · 3500 history records